Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.328801 0.393264 0.471822 0.576204 0.713754 0.892515 1.148839
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.249212 0.329639 0.442646 0.620134 0.906577 1.381240 2.307169
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.196045 0.277928 0.405275 0.632592 1.066946 1.968595 4.418398
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.158857 0.236506 0.366487 0.622353 1.183811 2.612067 8.117009
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.138239 0.214882 0.351964 0.647828 1.393543 3.766746 18.301825
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.118322 0.189416 0.322561 0.629635 1.489677 4.788966 37.361950
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.105958 0.174581 0.309107 0.641190 1.683021 6.663427 109.001035
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.094508 0.159165 0.290454 0.632476 1.811409 8.698297 376.371571
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.087095 0.150131 0.283060 0.650541 2.062536 12.715577 5396.147888
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.081587 0.143886 0.280293 0.680984 2.411208 20.236572 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.076291 0.137187 0.274910 0.701770 2.756241 32.297265 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.071894 0.131695 0.271223 0.727176 3.182694 56.105490 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.067599 0.125946 0.266063 0.747488 3.647301 105.316449 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.063498 0.120091 0.259535 0.761046 4.123264 214.572391 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.059339 0.113567 0.249963 0.759141 4.498970 443.605039 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.055105 0.106368 0.237243 0.739361 4.692477 857.880204 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.052776 0.103360 0.235821 0.768736 5.526573 5420.026526 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.049243 0.097075 0.223788 0.744906 5.688389 22741.712061 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.047020 0.093728 0.219924 0.758975 6.459312 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.044412 0.089164 0.211627 0.747922 6.856152 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.042773 0.086837 0.209862 0.770472 7.996679 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.041548 0.085420 0.210729 0.808655 9.782205 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.040160 0.083439 0.209438 0.834808 11.615213 NaN NaN